Player Bot Guide

The Proppr Player Bot (@PropprPlayerBot) identifies value in individual player prop markets using the proprietary Cebro statistical model. 100+ leagues, 10+ markets, real-time alerts.

“The main thing with the bot is it's NOT a tipster, taking every alert it sends isn't the way to go, but use it as a tool to point you in the right direction you can't go wrong.” — Jay (Prof. X), Creator

The Cebro Model

Cebro is a hard-coded statistical model (not AI, not machine learning) that analyzes player performance from recent matches to predict likelihood of events. When bookmaker odds offer more than fair value, you get an alert.

Data Points

Last 5 or Last 10 games per player

Position Intelligence

Primary + alternative positions modeled

Opponent Adjustments

Opponent strength factored in

Confidence

60–70% model confidence on value plays

Value Formula

Value % = ((Bookmaker Odds ÷ Model Odds) − 1) × 100

Example: Bookmaker 8.5 ÷ Model 2.86 = 197.2% value

Markets Covered

•Anytime Goalscorer

•Shots on Target

•Total Shots

•To be Booked (Cards)

•Tackles

•Fouls

•Assists

•Goalkeeper Saves

•Score or Assist

•Shots Outside Box

Key Features

Real-Time Value Alerts

Instant push notifications the moment a mispriced market appears. Price drops are highlighted with 📉 — act fast before bookmakers correct the line.

/fixture — Deep-Dive Any Game

The community's most-used command. Returns all value alerts matching your settings for a specific match in under 60 seconds. Club Legend tier only.

Super Sub Strategy

Dedicated commands (/supersub, /supersubteam, /supersubleague) surface bench players with value. Fresh legs against tired defenses at prices the market ignores.

Position-Based Modeling

No competitor comes close. Primary and alternative positions are modeled separately, creating more accurate probability estimates for each market.